Market Analysis
Economic Diary:
Week Commencing 02/03/26
Monday 02 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.8 | 53.0 | ||
| 07:00 | 
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.5% | 1.3% | +1.2% |
| 07:00 | 
|
House Price Index Month on Month (Nationwide) |
|
0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% |
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index Year on Year (Nationwide) |
|
1.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% |
| 07:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
0.1% | -0.2% | -0.9% |
| 08:45 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 48.1 | 49.5 | 50.6 | |
| 08:50 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 49.9 | 49.9 | 50.1 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.7 | 50.7 | 50.9 | |
| 09:00 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.8 | 50.8 | 50.8 | |
| 09:30 |
|
Money Supply M4 | 0.3% | -0.1% | ||
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Manufacturing | 52.0 | 52.0 | 51.7 | |
| 14:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing | 50.4 | 51.0 | ||
| 15:00 | 
|
ISM Manufacturing PMI |
|
52.6 | 51.8 | 52.4 |
| 23:30 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
2.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% |
Wednesday 04 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | 
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.4% | 0.6% | +0.8% |
| 00:30 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year |
|
2.1% | 2.2% | +2.6% |
| 01:30 | 
|
PMI Manufacturing (China) |
|
49.3 | 49.1 | 49.0 |
| 05:00 |
|
Consumer Confidence |
|
37.9 | 40.0 | |
| 08:45 |
|
PMI Services | 52.9 | 52.0 | 52.3 | |
| 08:50 |
|
PMI Services | 49.6 | 49.6 | 49.6 | |
| 08:55 |
|
PMI Services | 53.4 | 53.4 | 53.5 | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Quarter on Quarter | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Composite | 51.9 | 51.9 | 51.9 | |
| 09:00 |
|
GDP Prelim Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| 09:00 |
|
PMI Services | 51.8 | 51.8 | 51.9 | |
| 09:30 |
|
PMI Services | 53.9 | 53.9 | 53.9 | |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Rate |
|
6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Final Year on Year | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Final Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Month on Month |
|
-0.3% | 0.2% | 0.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
PPI Year on Year |
|
-2.1% | -2.7% | -2.1% |
| 13:15 |
|
ADP employment report |
|
22k | 50k | 63k |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Prices Paid |
|
66.6 | 63.0 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Employment |
|
50.3 | 51.8 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI |
|
53.8 | 53.5 | 56.1 |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing Business Activity |
|
57.4 | 59.9 | |
| 15:00 |
|
ISM Non Manufacturing New Orders |
|
53.1 | 58.6 | |
| 15:30 |
|
EIA Weekly Crude Oil Stocks | 15.989Mln | 2.305Mln | 3.475Mln |
Thursday 05 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:45 |
|
Industrial Production Month on Month | -0.7% | 0.5% | +0.5% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month (sa) |
|
-0.80% | +0.6% | |
| 09:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year (nsa) |
|
0.90% | +2.3% | |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month |
|
-0.5% | 0.3% | -0.1% |
| 10:00 |
|
Retail Sales Year on Year |
|
1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% |
Friday 06 March
| Time | Region | Indicator | Previous | Expected | Actual | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 |
|
House Price Index UK (Halifax) |
|
0.7% | 0.3% | +0.3% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Year on Year |
|
1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% |
| 10:00 |
|
Unemployment Year on Year |
|
0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| 10:00 |
|
GDP Revised Quarter on Quarter |
|
0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Month on Month | 0.0% | -0.3% | -0.2% | |
| 13:30 |
|
Retail Sales Ex-Auto Month on Month | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 15:00 |
|
Business Inventories Month on Month |
|
0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
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